The optimal timing depends on several market indicators and your personal situation:
Favorable Market Indicators
1. Rate Cycle
- When rates are historically low
- Before an anticipated rate increase period
- After a period of stability
2. Economic Signals
- Low inflation
- Accommodative monetary policy
- Economic stability
Personal Factors to Consider
1. Your Financial Situation
- Income stability
- Savings capacity
- Risk tolerance
2. Your Property Project
- Expected holding period for the property
- Property type (primary residence/investment)
- Project phase (purchase/renewal)
Recommended Strategies
1. For a New Mortgage
- Start monitoring rates 6-12 months before purchase
- Negotiate offers with multiple lenders
- Consider locking in a rate in advance (forward rate agreement)
2. For Renewal
- Begin analysis 18 months before maturity
- Compare with current market conditions
- Evaluate early renewal options
Key Considerations
- Don't try to time the market perfectly
- Prioritize a strategy aligned with your needs
- Consider a mixed approach (rate laddering with multiple tranches)
- Regularly review expert forecasts
Practical Recommendations
1. Stay Informed
- Follow market analysis
- Consult multiple institutions
- Subscribe to rate alerts
2. Get Professional Advice
- Discuss with a mortgage advisor
- Evaluate different scenarios
- Prepare your file in advance